VC
Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 beat on both revenue and EPS: net sales $130.9M vs S&P Global consensus $125.6M (+4.2%); diluted EPS $0.31 vs $0.19 (+$0.12), while gross margin contracted 550 bps YoY to 36.7% on elevated ocean freight and higher finished goods costs . Consensus values from S&P Global.*
- Management reaffirmed FY25 outlook (net sales $555–$570M, GM 35–37%, Adjusted EBITDA $86–$92M) and now explicitly assumes the 10% baseline U.S. import tariff (excludes potential reciprocal tariffs); SG&A growth tightened higher to low-to-mid single digits (from low single digits) .
- Category/category-leader momentum continued: Vita Coco Coconut Water net sales +25% YoY; robust U.S./U.K./Germany growth; Treats rolled out nationally late in Q1; Walmart reset headwinds easing with improving in-store execution and plans to re-win distribution .
- Key 2H setup: planned price increases (one in Q2, additional in early Q3 tied to tariffs) and expected easing ocean freight support margin stabilization; inventory levels are materially stronger into summer, enabling a normal promo cadence and potential Q3 scan acceleration vs a tough service-lapse comp .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Branded momentum and mix: Vita Coco Coconut Water net sales +25% YoY; Americas +24% and International +36% growth, with strong multi-pack and Treats contributions; “other” category +84% on Treats rollout .
- Reaffirmed FY25 outlook despite tariffs: Net sales $555–$570M, GM 35–37%, Adjusted EBITDA $86–$92M; now assumes 10% baseline tariff but still held ranges; SG&A up low-to-mid single digits to support growth .
- Strengthened balance sheet and capital return: Cash and cash equivalents $153.6M, no debt; buyback authorization raised to $65M with $10.1M repurchased YTD through 4/29/25 .
“Coconut water remains one of the fastest growing categories… which produced 25% Vita Coco Coconut Water net sales growth globally” – Michael Kirban .
“Our exceptionally strong shipment performance… benefited from very strong demand for Vita Coco Coconut Water… [and] the national roll out of Vita Coco Treats” – Martin Roper .
What Went Wrong
- Margin pressure: Gross margin fell to 36.7% from 42.2% on higher ocean freight and elevated finished goods costs; mgmt expects full-year GM flat-ish with 2H stronger on pricing and likely lower freight .
- Private label softness: Private label net sales declined (Americas -$3.1M YoY in Q1) and is expected to be visibly weaker in Q2 given lost regions and oil exit timing .
- Walmart reset drag: Reduced SKUs and shelf changes created a mid-single-digit drag on scans, though velocity improved and mgmt expects to re-win distribution over time .
Financial Results
- YoY context (Q1): Revenue $130.9M vs $111.7M (+17%); Diluted EPS $0.31 vs $0.24; Gross margin 36.7% vs 42.2% .
Segment/product net sales (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024):
KPIs
- Volume (CE) YoY change (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)
- Vita Coco Coconut Water: Americas +23.5%, International +34.7%, Total +25.2%
- Private Label: Americas -2.3%, International +13.5%, Total +0.7%
- Other: Americas +187.8%, International -2.7%, Total +172.4%
- Segment gross margin (%)
- Americas: 37.6% (Q1’25) vs 42.5% (Q1’24); International: 31.5% vs 40.4%; Consolidated: 36.7% vs 42.2%
- Balance sheet snapshot
- Cash & cash equivalents: $153.6M (3/31/25) vs $164.7M (12/31/24)
- Inventory: $88.3M (3/31/25) vs $83.6M (12/31/24)
- Share repurchases: $10.1M YTD through 4/29/25; authorization raised to $65M
Note: Consensus values from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We believe this growth is being fueled by our focused investment as the category leader… together with the benefits of a stronger inventory position to start the year.” – Michael Kirban
- “We believe we have secured sufficient capacity to support our growth expectations, which should enable us to operate with some excess capacity during the second half of the year.” – Martin Roper
- “We expect gross margins to be relatively flat through the year with the second half being stronger than Q2 due to our planned pricing increases and expected lower ocean freight rates.” – Corey Baker
- “We are confident that we will improve our current Walmart trends, and we believe we will see this customer return as a growth engine… once we re-win our lost points of distribution.” – Martin Roper
Q&A Highlights
- Tariff mitigation and pricing cadence: Healthy starting inventory delays near-term impact; cost savings and supplier sharing under evaluation; Q2 base price increase followed by additional early Q3 pricing if baseline 10% tariff persists .
- Gross margin cadence: Relatively flat intra-year; 2H uplift from pricing and expected lower freight; multiple moving parts (tariffs, freight) .
- Walmart update: Trends “improved slightly”; confidence in regaining SKUs and points of distribution; mid-single-digit scan drag currently .
- Multipacks and demand: Multipacks remain a growth driver; some value-seeking behavior possible; broader data set effects noted .
- International investments: Stepping up marketing and in-market teams (U.K., Germany, broader Europe) to accelerate category penetration .
Estimates Context
- Beat drivers: strong branded coconut water growth, Treats contribution, and higher other income (derivative MTM gain) offsetting gross margin compression from elevated ocean freight and finished goods costs .
Note: Consensus values from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Clean beat and maintained FY25 ranges despite tariff headwinds; updates now explicitly include baseline 10% tariff, de-risking guidance methodology .
- Branded engine remains robust (VC Coconut Water +25% YoY), with Treats scaling nationally; segment mix supportive for revenue durability even as private label softens .
- Margin path hinges on 2H levers: price increases (Q2 and early Q3) and potential freight normalization; monitor tariff developments and reciprocal-tariff risk .
- Retail execution tailwind building: Walmart reset headwinds easing; mgmt expects re-win of distribution, positioning scans to improve into summer/Q3 .
- Balance sheet strength and buybacks offer downside protection and capital allocation flexibility (cash $153.6M, no debt; $65M authorization) .
- Near-term trading: Positive reaction plausible on beat + guidance hold; watch Q2 private label visibility and Q2 gross margin (flat-ish) ahead of 2H inflection .
- Medium-term thesis: Category penetration runway (U.S./U.K./Germany), stepped-up international investment, and capacity adds (2025–26) support sustained mid-teens branded growth algorithm .
Additional context
- Marketing/innovation boosts brand heat: Treats national rollout and experiential marketing (NYC ‘Nostalgia Mall’), plus new Coconut Juice Piña Colada flavor ahead of summer .
Footnotes:
- Adjusted EBITDA is non-GAAP; see company’s reconciliation and definitions in the release .
- Consensus values from S&P Global.*